San Jose sit top of the MLS standings and have been the model of defensive solidity at home this season, keeping clean sheets in half their home games while conceding an average of just 0.5 goals per match. Their recent run of three wins followed by two draws suggests a team that controls games comfortably without always going for the jugular.

FC Dallas arrive in mixed form, with back-to-back wins following three games without one. Their away record mirrors San Jose's home numbers in an odd symmetry, with identical clean sheet and Over 2.5 rates, though they score nearly half a goal less per game on the road.

The standout feature here is how drastically both sides sit below the league average for BTTS and goals. San Jose's home BTTS rate of 33% against a league average of 59% tells a clear story. This looks like a tighter, lower-scoring affair than a typical MLS fixture, and the visitors may find it a long evening against the league's form side.