San Diego FC sit 15th and have stumbled through four winless league games before a solitary victory, while Vancouver arrive top of the MLS standings with four wins from five away fixtures. The gap in form and table position is stark, and nothing in the recent data softens that picture for the hosts.

The goal angles are particularly interesting here. San Diego have been involved in high-scoring home games all season, with their over 2.5 rate of 86% well above the league average of 63%. Vancouver's away record tells a different story in terms of volume — their over 2.5 rate sits at 50% on the road — but crucially they have failed to keep a single clean sheet away from home, with BTTS landing in every away fixture, above the league norm of 60%.

Vancouver look like a side that travels well and knows how to grind results. This feels like a comfortable afternoon for the league leaders, and the visitors appear undervalued if the market is reacting to San Diego's home scoring numbers alone.