San Diego FC head into this one in poor form, winless in their last five and sitting bottom of the MLS standings. Despite playing at home, they have been leaking goals and struggling for consistency. FC Cincinnati arrive in contrasting shape, unbeaten in four of their last five away games, with back-to-back wins building real momentum heading into this fixture.

The numbers here point firmly toward an open, high-scoring contest. San Diego's home matches are producing goals at a remarkable rate, with over 2.5 goals in 83% of games, well above the league average of 62%. Cincinnati on the road have kept zero clean sheets this season, conceding nearly three per game away from home, while also contributing heavily at the other end with BTTS landing in 86% of their away fixtures.

This looks like a game where goals are almost inevitable. Cincinnati's form and defensive frailty on the road makes this one more competitive than San Diego's league position implies, but the visitors look undervalued given their recent trajectory.