Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes — MLS forecast, Thursday, 15 October 2026
MLS·Thursday, 15 October 2026·01:30
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake | 2.03 |
| Draw | 3.86 |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 3.35 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 11 Oct · 04:52 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Real Salt Lake
| 22 Feb | A | vs Vancouver Whitecaps | 0–1 | L |
| 1 Mar | H | vs Seattle Sounders | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Mar | A | vs Atlanta Utd | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Mar | H | vs Austin FC | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | A | vs San Diego FC | 2–2 | D |
San Jose Earthquakes
| 22 Feb | H | vs Sporting Kansas City | 3–0 | W |
| 1 Mar | H | vs Atlanta Utd | 2–0 | W |
| 8 Mar | A | vs Philadelphia Union | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | H | vs Seattle Sounders | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Mar | A | vs Vancouver Whitecaps | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Real Salt Lake (Home · 14 matches) | San Jose Earthquakes (Away · 13 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 57.1% | 69.2% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 71.4% | 53.8% |
| Clean sheet | 21.4% | 23.1% |
| Avg goals | 3.36 | 3.15 |
Home stats use Real Salt Lake's home record; away stats use San Jose Earthquakes's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.