Real Salt Lake vs New York City — MLS result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 13 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 17.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Real Salt Lake
49%
top pick
Draw
27%
New York City
25%
result
Final score
0–2
Top pick missed
Metis gave a New York City win 24.6% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Real Salt Lake win. Expected goals 1.66–1.23 against 0–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.5%), 2–1 (11.1%), 1–0 (9.4%). It finished 0–2.
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Real Salt Lake
| 22 Feb | A | vs Vancouver Whitecaps | 0–1 | L |
| 1 Mar | H | vs Seattle Sounders | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Mar | A | vs Atlanta Utd | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Mar | H | vs Austin FC | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | A | vs San Diego FC | 2–2 | D |
New York City
| 23 Feb | A | vs Los Angeles Galaxy | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Mar | A | vs Philadelphia Union | 2–1 | W |
| 7 Mar | H | vs Orlando City | 5–0 | W |
| 14 Mar | H | vs Colorado Rapids | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | H | vs Inter Miami | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Real Salt Lake (Home · 16 matches) | New York City (Away · 16 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 56.2% | 68.8% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 68.8% | 43.8% |
| Clean sheet | 25.0% | 12.5% |
| Avg goals | 3.25 | 2.44 |
Home stats use Real Salt Lake's home record; away stats use New York City's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.