Portland sit 24th and have been leaky at the back all season, conceding an average of 2.0 per home game with a clean sheet rate of zero percent. That defensive fragility makes for uncomfortable viewing, though they have shown enough attacking intent to contribute to goals at both ends in every single home match this season, well above the league average of 58 percent for BTTS.

Sporting Kansas City arrive in genuinely dire form, five straight away defeats with an average of 3.0 conceded per road game. Their attack has mustered just 0.6 goals per away fixture, so while all five of their away games have cleared 2.5 goals, that has largely been driven by the opposition rather than any contribution from SKC.

With no head-to-head history to lean on, the data suggests a high-scoring affair is likely, but goals flowing primarily in one direction. This looks like a match where the visitors are significantly more vulnerable than even their lowly standing implies.