New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City — MLS forecast, Thursday, 1 October 2026
MLS·Thursday, 1 October 2026
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
New York Red Bulls
| 22 Feb | A | vs Orlando City | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Feb | H | vs New England Revolution | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Mar | H | vs CF Montreal | 0–3 | L |
| 14 Mar | A | vs Toronto FC | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Mar | A | vs Charlotte | 1–6 | L |
St. Louis City
| 21 Feb | H | vs Charlotte | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Mar | A | vs San Diego FC | 0–2 | L |
| 8 Mar | H | vs Seattle Sounders | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Mar | A | vs Los Angeles FC | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | H | vs New England Revolution | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | New York Red Bulls (Home · 13 matches) | St. Louis City (Away · 14 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 53.8% | 64.3% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 53.8% | 42.9% |
| Clean sheet | 7.7% | 14.3% |
| Avg goals | 3.38 | 2.79 |
Home stats use New York Red Bulls's home record; away stats use St. Louis City's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.