New York City vs Atlanta Utd — MLS forecast, Wednesday, 28 October 2026
MLS·Wednesday, 28 October 2026·23:30
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| New York City | 1.90 |
| Draw | 3.83 |
| Atlanta Utd | 3.77 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 25 Oct · 04:59 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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New York City
| 23 Feb | A | vs Los Angeles Galaxy | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Mar | A | vs Philadelphia Union | 2–1 | W |
| 7 Mar | H | vs Orlando City | 5–0 | W |
| 14 Mar | H | vs Colorado Rapids | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | H | vs Inter Miami | 2–3 | L |
Atlanta Utd
| 21 Feb | A | vs FC Cincinnati | 0–2 | L |
| 1 Mar | A | vs San Jose Earthquakes | 0–2 | L |
| 8 Mar | H | vs Real Salt Lake | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Mar | H | vs Philadelphia Union | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Mar | H | vs DC United | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 27 Sept 26 | Atlanta UtdvsNew York City | 2 – 2 |
New York City: 0W 1D 0L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | New York City (Home · 15 matches) | Atlanta Utd (Away · 15 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 66.7% | 46.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 60.0% | 46.7% |
| Clean sheet | 20.0% | 20.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.27 | 2.53 |
Home stats use New York City's home record; away stats use Atlanta Utd's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.