Minnesota United vs Houston Dynamo — MLS forecast, Sunday, 11 October 2026
MLS·Sunday, 11 October 2026·00:30
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Minnesota United | 2.08 |
| Draw | 3.60 |
| Houston Dynamo | 3.42 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 03 Oct · 03:54 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Minnesota United
| 22 Feb | A | vs Austin FC | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Feb | H | vs FC Cincinnati | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Mar | A | vs Nashville SC | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Mar | A | vs Vancouver Whitecaps | 0–6 | L |
| 22 Mar | H | vs Seattle Sounders | 0–0 | D |
Houston Dynamo
| 22 Feb | H | vs Chicago Fire | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Mar | H | vs Los Angeles FC | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | H | vs Portland Timbers | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Mar | A | vs FC Dallas | 3–4 | L |
| 5 Apr | H | vs Seattle Sounders | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Minnesota United (Home · 13 matches) | Houston Dynamo (Away · 13 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 53.8% | 38.5% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 38.5% | 38.5% |
| Clean sheet | 30.8% | 38.5% |
| Avg goals | 2.31 | 2.85 |
Home stats use Minnesota United's home record; away stats use Houston Dynamo's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.