Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders — MLS result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 13 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 18.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Los Angeles Galaxy
44%
top pick
Draw
24%
result
Seattle Sounders
32%
Final score
1–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 24.0% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Los Angeles Galaxy win. Expected goals 1.69–1.48 against 1–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (10.8%), 2–1 (9.8%), 1–2 (7.2%). It finished 1–1 — one of them.
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Los Angeles Galaxy
| 23 Feb | H | vs New York City | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Mar | H | vs Charlotte | 3–0 | W |
| 8 Mar | A | vs Colorado Rapids | 1–4 | L |
| 15 Mar | H | vs Sporting Kansas City | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | A | vs Portland Timbers | 1–1 | D |
Seattle Sounders
| 23 Feb | H | vs Colorado Rapids | 2–0 | W |
| 1 Mar | A | vs Real Salt Lake | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Mar | A | vs St. Louis City | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | A | vs San Jose Earthquakes | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | A | vs Minnesota United | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Los Angeles Galaxy (Home · 17 matches) | Seattle Sounders (Away · 17 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 70.6% | 52.9% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 58.8% | 41.2% |
| Clean sheet | 23.5% | 29.4% |
| Avg goals | 2.76 | 2.41 |
Home stats use Los Angeles Galaxy's home record; away stats use Seattle Sounders's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.