Inter Miami vs Nashville SC — MLS result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 13 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 15.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Inter Miami
46%
top pick
Draw
24%
result
Nashville SC
30%
Final score
2–2
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 23.5% before kick-off, and its most likely result was an Inter Miami win. Expected goals 1.98–1.44 against 2–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (10.3%), 1–2 (8.1%), 2–1 (7.6%). It finished 2–2.
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Inter Miami
| 5 Sept | H | vs Atlanta United FC | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Feb | A | vs Los Angeles FC | 0–3 | L |
| 2 Mar | A | vs Orlando City | 4–2 | W |
| 7 Mar | A | vs DC United | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | A | vs Charlotte | 0–0 | D |
Nashville SC
| 22 Feb | H | vs New England Revolution | 4–1 | W |
| 1 Mar | A | vs FC Dallas | 0–0 | D |
| 8 Mar | H | vs Minnesota United | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | A | vs Columbus Crew | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | H | vs Orlando City | 5–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Inter Miami (Home · 16 matches) | Nashville SC (Away · 16 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 81.2% | 37.5% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 81.2% | 37.5% |
| Clean sheet | 18.8% | 50.0% |
| Avg goals | 4.44 | 2.00 |
Home stats use Inter Miami's home record; away stats use Nashville SC's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.