Inter Miami vs CF Montreal — MLS result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 30 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 7.8 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Inter Miami
68%
pick · result
Draw
17%
CF Montreal
16%
Final score
7–1
Top pick landed
Metis gave an Inter Miami win 67.5% before kick-off, and its most likely result was an Inter Miami win. Expected goals 2.52–1.10 against 7–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 2–1 (9.1%), 2–0 (8.6%), 3–1 (7.8%). It finished 7–1.
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Inter Miami
| 5 Sept | H | vs Atlanta United FC | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Feb | A | vs Los Angeles FC | 0–3 | L |
| 2 Mar | A | vs Orlando City | 4–2 | W |
| 7 Mar | A | vs DC United | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | A | vs Charlotte | 0–0 | D |
CF Montreal
| 22 Feb | A | vs San Diego FC | 0–5 | L |
| 28 Feb | A | vs Chicago Fire | 0–3 | L |
| 8 Mar | A | vs New York Red Bulls | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Mar | A | vs Orlando City | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | A | vs FC Cincinnati | 3–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Inter Miami (Home · 16 matches) | CF Montreal (Away · 17 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 81.2% | 52.9% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 81.2% | 70.6% |
| Clean sheet | 18.8% | 5.9% |
| Avg goals | 4.44 | 3.65 |
Home stats use Inter Miami's home record; away stats use CF Montreal's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.