FC Dallas arrive at this one in poor shape, picking up just one point from their last four home outings before a narrow win steadied the ship. Sitting 11th, they've been leaking goals at home, conceding an average of 1.7 per game and keeping a clean sheet in just 14% of home fixtures. Vancouver, by contrast, are the form side of the division, dropping only two points from their last five away from home and arriving as the second-placed side with genuine title credentials.

The goal data here is striking. Vancouver have triggered BTTS in every single away match this season, well above the league average of 58%, and while their defensive record on the road looks strong, they've yet to keep an away clean sheet. FC Dallas tend to contribute to open games too, with BTTS landing in 71% of their home matches. This looks like a game with goals, and the visitors appear significantly undervalued given the gap in form and league standing.