FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC — MLS forecast, Saturday, 7 November 2026
Metis Forecast
Independent model — no market priceModel updated
FC Cincinnati
33%
Draw
26%
Nashville SC
41%
Expected goals
1.45–1.63
FC Cincinnati · Nashville SC
Nashville SC win 41% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11.8%), 1–2 (8.8%), 2–1 (7.9%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 62% of simulations.
Those three cover 29% of outcomes; the other 72% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
FC Cincinnati score at least twice in 42%; Nashville SC in 48%.
Scoreline distribution
Nashville SC goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.5 | 6.6 | 6.1 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 5.8 | 11.8 | 8.8 | 4.8 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| 2 | 4.9 | 7.9 | 6.4 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 3 | 2.3 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: FC Cincinnati goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati | 2.49 |
| Draw | 3.83 |
| Nashville SC | 2.60 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 02 Nov · 05:06 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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FC Cincinnati
| 21 Feb | H | vs Atlanta Utd | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Feb | A | vs Minnesota United | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Mar | H | vs Toronto FC | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Mar | A | vs New England Revolution | 1–6 | L |
| 22 Mar | H | vs CF Montreal | 4–3 | W |
Nashville SC
| 22 Feb | H | vs New England Revolution | 4–1 | W |
| 1 Mar | A | vs FC Dallas | 0–0 | D |
| 8 Mar | H | vs Minnesota United | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | A | vs Columbus Crew | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | H | vs Orlando City | 5–0 | W |
Head to head
| 30 Aug 26 | Nashville SCvsFC Cincinnati | 4 – 0 |
FC Cincinnati: 0W 0D 1L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | FC Cincinnati (Home · 15 matches) | Nashville SC (Away · 16 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 73.3% | 37.5% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 66.7% | 37.5% |
| Clean sheet | 13.3% | 50.0% |
| Avg goals | 4.53 | 2.00 |
Home stats use FC Cincinnati's home record; away stats use Nashville SC's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.