DC United vs Atlanta Utd — MLS result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 13 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 15.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
DC United
44%
top pick
Draw
24%
result
Atlanta Utd
31%
Final score
0–0
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 24.4% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a DC United win. Expected goals 1.69–1.42 against 0–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (11.2%), 2–1 (9.6%), 1–2 (7.4%). It finished 0–0.
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DC United
| 22 Feb | H | vs Philadelphia Union | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Mar | A | vs Austin FC | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Mar | H | vs Inter Miami | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | A | vs Chicago Fire | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Mar | A | vs Atlanta Utd | 0–0 | D |
Atlanta Utd
| 21 Feb | A | vs FC Cincinnati | 0–2 | L |
| 1 Mar | A | vs San Jose Earthquakes | 0–2 | L |
| 8 Mar | H | vs Real Salt Lake | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Mar | H | vs Philadelphia Union | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Mar | H | vs DC United | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | DC United (Home · 16 matches) | Atlanta Utd (Away · 16 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 62.5% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 68.8% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 18.8% | 18.8% |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | 2.56 |
Home stats use DC United's home record; away stats use Atlanta Utd's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.