Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls — MLS result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 13 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 15.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Columbus Crew
55%
top pick
Draw
22%
New York Red Bulls
24%
result
Final score
0–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave a New York Red Bulls win 23.5% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Columbus Crew win. Expected goals 1.95–1.20 against 0–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (10.0%), 2–1 (9.9%), 2–0 (8.3%). It finished 0–1.
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Columbus Crew
| 22 Feb | A | vs Portland Timbers | 2–3 | L |
| 1 Mar | A | vs Sporting Kansas City | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Mar | H | vs Chicago Fire | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Mar | H | vs Nashville SC | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Mar | A | vs Toronto FC | 1–2 | L |
New York Red Bulls
| 22 Feb | A | vs Orlando City | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Feb | H | vs New England Revolution | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Mar | H | vs CF Montreal | 0–3 | L |
| 14 Mar | A | vs Toronto FC | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Mar | A | vs Charlotte | 1–6 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Columbus Crew (Home · 17 matches) | New York Red Bulls (Away · 17 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 58.8% | 70.6% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 64.7% | 64.7% |
| Clean sheet | 29.4% | 17.6% |
| Avg goals | 2.82 | 3.18 |
Home stats use Columbus Crew's home record; away stats use New York Red Bulls's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.