Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution — MLS result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 30 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 12.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Columbus Crew
45%
top pick
Draw
26%
New England Revolution
29%
result
Final score
1–3
Top pick missed
Metis gave a New England Revolution win 29.1% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Columbus Crew win. Expected goals 1.68–1.26 against 1–3 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.1%), 2–1 (8.7%), 1–2 (7.6%). It finished 1–3.
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Columbus Crew
| 22 Feb | A | vs Portland Timbers | 2–3 | L |
| 1 Mar | A | vs Sporting Kansas City | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Mar | H | vs Chicago Fire | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Mar | H | vs Nashville SC | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Mar | A | vs Toronto FC | 1–2 | L |
New England Revolution
| 22 Feb | A | vs Nashville SC | 1–4 | L |
| 28 Feb | A | vs New York Red Bulls | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Mar | H | vs FC Cincinnati | 6–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | A | vs St. Louis City | 1–3 | L |
| 4 Apr | H | vs CF Montreal | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Columbus Crew (Home · 14 matches) | New England Revolution (Away · 14 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 57.1% | 71.4% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 57.1% | 78.6% |
| Clean sheet | 28.6% | 7.1% |
| Avg goals | 2.50 | 3.00 |
Home stats use Columbus Crew's home record; away stats use New England Revolution's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.