Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew | 2.07 | 2.07 |
| Draw | 3.72 | 3.72 |
| New England Revolution | 3.36 | 3.36 |
Metis Forecast
model + marketColumbus Crew
47%
Draw
25%
New England Revolution
28%
Columbus Crew win 47% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 59% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11.9%).
Columbus Crew score at least twice in 51%; New England Revolution in 35%.
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 7.2 | 11.9 | 7.7 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.5 | 8.4 | 5.8 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.7 | 5.3 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
rows = Columbus Crew goals · columns = New England Revolution goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Model vs market
| Source | Columbus Crew | Draw | New England Revolution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 56% | 24% | 20% |
| Market (de-vigged) | 47% | 25% | 28% |
| Metis Forecast | 47% | 25% | 28% |
The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.
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Columbus Crew
| 22 Feb | A | vs Portland Timbers | 2–3 | L |
| 1 Mar | A | vs Sporting Kansas City | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Mar | H | vs Chicago Fire | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Mar | H | vs Nashville SC | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Mar | A | vs Toronto FC | 1–2 | L |
New England Revolution
| 22 Feb | A | vs Nashville SC | 1–4 | L |
| 28 Feb | A | vs New York Red Bulls | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Mar | H | vs FC Cincinnati | 6–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | A | vs St. Louis City | 1–3 | L |
| 4 Apr | H | vs CF Montreal | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
| 19 Apr 26 | New England RevolutionvsColumbus Crew | 2 – 1 |
Columbus Crew: 0W 0D 1L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Columbus Crew (Home) | New England Revolution (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 60.0% | 66.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 66.7% |
| Clean sheet | 30.0% | 11.1% |
| Avg goals | 2.40 | 2.89 |
Home stats use Columbus Crew's home record; away stats use New England Revolution's away record this season.