Columbus Crew come into this in poor shape, sitting 22nd and managing just one win in their last five. Their home record this season has been remarkably low-scoring, with zero of their home games going over 2.5 goals and BTTS landing in just 33% of them, well below the league average of 56%. They are averaging under a goal per game at home, which tells a story of a side struggling badly for attacking output.

Los Angeles Galaxy away from home are a different picture entirely. Every one of their away fixtures this season has seen both teams score, and over 2.5 goals has landed in 67% of them, tracking close to the league average. They average 1.3 goals scored on the road but also concede 2.0 per game, meaning they tend to be involved in open, messy contests.

Given Columbus's dire form and toothless home attack, the Galaxy look undervalued here despite their own inconsistency. This match setting up as tighter and lower-scoring than Galaxy away games typically produce would be the surprise.