Columbus Crew vs Colorado Rapids — MLS result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 6 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 15.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Columbus Crew
42%
pick · result
Draw
27%
Colorado Rapids
31%
Final score
3–0
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Columbus Crew win 41.8% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Columbus Crew win. Expected goals 1.62–1.34 against 3–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.6%), 2–1 (8.4%), 1–2 (7.9%). It finished 3–0.
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Columbus Crew
| 22 Feb | A | vs Portland Timbers | 2–3 | L |
| 1 Mar | A | vs Sporting Kansas City | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Mar | H | vs Chicago Fire | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Mar | H | vs Nashville SC | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Mar | A | vs Toronto FC | 1–2 | L |
Colorado Rapids
| 23 Feb | A | vs Seattle Sounders | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Feb | H | vs Portland Timbers | 2–0 | W |
| 8 Mar | H | vs Los Angeles Galaxy | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | A | vs New York City | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Mar | A | vs Sporting Kansas City | 4–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Columbus Crew (Home · 17 matches) | Colorado Rapids (Away · 16 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 58.8% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 64.7% | 56.2% |
| Clean sheet | 29.4% | 18.8% |
| Avg goals | 2.82 | 2.69 |
Home stats use Columbus Crew's home record; away stats use Colorado Rapids's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.