🇺🇸 MLS·Sunday, 30 August 2026·01:30
Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids | 1.99 | 1.99 |
| Draw | 3.89 | 3.89 |
| Real Salt Lake | 3.64 | 3.64 |
Metis Forecast
model + marketColorado Rapids
49%
Draw
25%
Real Salt Lake
26%
Colorado Rapids 1.86 xGexpected goals1.30 xG Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids win 49% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 62% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11.2%).
Colorado Rapids score at least twice in 55%; Real Salt Lake in 38%.
1–1 11.2%2–1 9.1%2–0 7.2%1–2 6.9%1–0 6.8%2–2 6.3%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.1 | 4.8 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 6.8 | 11.2 | 6.9 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.2 | 9.1 | 6.3 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 4.6 | 5.8 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
rows = Colorado Rapids goals · columns = Real Salt Lake goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score62%
Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Over 4.5 goals21%
Colorado Rapids clean sheet27%
Real Salt Lake clean sheet16%
Colorado Rapids score 2+55%
Real Salt Lake score 2+38%
Colorado Rapids score 3+29%
Model vs market
| Source | Colorado Rapids | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 53% | 24% | 23% |
| Market (de-vigged) | 49% | 25% | 26% |
| Metis Forecast | 49% | 25% | 26% |
The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.
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Colorado Rapids
| 23 Feb | A | vs Seattle Sounders | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Feb | H | vs Portland Timbers | 2–0 | W |
| 8 Mar | H | vs Los Angeles Galaxy | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | A | vs New York City | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Mar | A | vs Sporting Kansas City | 4–1 | W |
Real Salt Lake
| 22 Feb | A | vs Vancouver Whitecaps | 0–1 | L |
| 1 Mar | H | vs Seattle Sounders | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Mar | A | vs Atlanta Utd | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Mar | H | vs Austin FC | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | A | vs San Diego FC | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
| 17 May 26 | Real Salt LakevsColorado Rapids | 2 – 1 |
Colorado Rapids: 0W 0D 1L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Colorado Rapids (Home) | Real Salt Lake (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 40.0% | 90.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 40.0% | 70.0% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.90 | 3.10 |
Home stats use Colorado Rapids's home record; away stats use Real Salt Lake's away record this season.