Colorado Rapids vs CF Montreal — MLS result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 13 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 17.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Colorado Rapids
59%
pick · result
Draw
22%
CF Montreal
19%
Final score
1–0
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Colorado Rapids win 58.6% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Colorado Rapids win. Expected goals 2.04–1.02 against 1–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (10.4%), 2–0 (9.6%), 2–1 (8.9%). It finished 1–0.
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Colorado Rapids
| 23 Feb | A | vs Seattle Sounders | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Feb | H | vs Portland Timbers | 2–0 | W |
| 8 Mar | H | vs Los Angeles Galaxy | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | A | vs New York City | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Mar | A | vs Sporting Kansas City | 4–1 | W |
CF Montreal
| 22 Feb | A | vs San Diego FC | 0–5 | L |
| 28 Feb | A | vs Chicago Fire | 0–3 | L |
| 8 Mar | A | vs New York Red Bulls | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Mar | A | vs Orlando City | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | A | vs FC Cincinnati | 3–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Colorado Rapids (Home · 17 matches) | CF Montreal (Away · 17 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 47.1% | 52.9% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 41.2% | 70.6% |
| Clean sheet | 47.1% | 5.9% |
| Avg goals | 2.94 | 3.65 |
Home stats use Colorado Rapids's home record; away stats use CF Montreal's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.