Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union — MLS forecast, Thursday, 15 October 2026
MLS·Thursday, 15 October 2026·00:30
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | 2.48 |
| Draw | 3.75 |
| Philadelphia Union | 2.63 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 11 Oct · 04:52 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Chicago Fire
| 22 Feb | A | vs Houston Dynamo | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Feb | H | vs CF Montreal | 3–0 | W |
| 8 Mar | A | vs Columbus Crew | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Mar | H | vs DC United | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Mar | A | vs Philadelphia Union | 2–1 | W |
Philadelphia Union
| 22 Feb | A | vs DC United | 0–1 | L |
| 1 Mar | H | vs New York City | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Mar | H | vs San Jose Earthquakes | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Mar | A | vs Atlanta Utd | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Mar | H | vs Chicago Fire | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 21 Mar 26 | Philadelphia UnionvsChicago Fire | 1 – 2 |
Chicago Fire: 1W 0D 0L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Chicago Fire (Home · 13 matches) | Philadelphia Union (Away · 14 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 69.2% | 78.6% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 76.9% | 78.6% |
| Clean sheet | 30.8% | 7.1% |
| Avg goals | 3.08 | 4.43 |
Home stats use Chicago Fire's home record; away stats use Philadelphia Union's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.