CF Montreal arrive at this fixture in alarming form, having lost four of their last five and sitting rock bottom of the league standings. Their home record this season tells its own story - every single home game has seen both teams score and gone over 2.5 goals, with an average of four goals per contest. That is well above the league average and signals a side that is generating chances but leaking them just as freely.

New York City offer little comfort on the road, with just one win in their last five away from home and a defensive record that has yet to produce a clean sheet this season. However, their away matches trend noticeably below the league average for goals, suggesting they can at least keep things contained.

With no head-to-head history to draw on, the contrasting goal data is the most instructive guide here. Montreal's home environment looks tailor-made for a lively, open contest, and this one feels looser defensively than the standings might imply.