CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew — MLS result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 20 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 19.9 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
CF Montreal
39%
top pick
Draw
26%
Columbus Crew
35%
result
Final score
0–2
Top pick missed
Metis gave a Columbus Crew win 35.4% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a CF Montreal win. Expected goals 1.43–1.36 against 0–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.2%), 2–1 (8.8%), 1–2 (8.2%). It finished 0–2.
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CF Montreal
| 22 Feb | A | vs San Diego FC | 0–5 | L |
| 28 Feb | A | vs Chicago Fire | 0–3 | L |
| 8 Mar | A | vs New York Red Bulls | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Mar | A | vs Orlando City | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | A | vs FC Cincinnati | 3–4 | L |
Columbus Crew
| 22 Feb | A | vs Portland Timbers | 2–3 | L |
| 1 Mar | A | vs Sporting Kansas City | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Mar | H | vs Chicago Fire | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Mar | H | vs Nashville SC | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Mar | A | vs Toronto FC | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | CF Montreal (Home · 16 matches) | Columbus Crew (Away · 16 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 75.0% |
| Clean sheet | 18.8% | 18.8% |
| Avg goals | 2.62 | 3.50 |
Home stats use CF Montreal's home record; away stats use Columbus Crew's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.