Atlanta United are in poor shape, sitting 26th in the league and winning just one of their last five, with a defensive record at home that will concern their supporters — averaging 1.8 goals conceded per game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. New England arrive in better recent form, taking wins in three of their last five, though their away defensive record is alarming with zero clean sheets on the road this season and an average of 2.7 goals conceded away from home.

With no previous H2H meetings to draw on, the stats paint a clear picture: both sides have goals in them and neither can keep things tight at the back. Atlanta's home BTTS and Over 2.5 rates of 75% sit well above the league averages, and New England's away numbers reinforce that trend.

This looks like a game with goals in both nets, and despite Atlanta's league position, the visitors are not arriving as a composed defensive unit either.