St Etienne sit third in Ligue 2 and will be pushing hard for promotion, but their recent home form is patchy — two wins sandwiched around a draw and two defeats suggests some inconsistency to account for. Amiens arrive in desperate trouble at the foot of the table, having lost four of their last five on the road, and their away defensive record is poor, conceding an average of 1.8 per game away from home with clean sheets in under a fifth of those matches.

The goals data is worth noting here. St Etienne's home matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 69% of cases, well above the Ligue 2 average of 47%, and Amiens have failed to keep things tight on their travels all season. Form points to a game with plenty of scoring opportunities, and the hosts look the stronger side despite their inconsistency. This feels like a match where St Etienne's attacking output could take over against a leaky visiting defence.