Red Star head into this one in solid nick, losing just once in their last five at home and sitting fifth in the table with genuine playoff ambitions. Guingamp's away record is a concern — two defeats and a draw in their last three on the road — and at 11th they have little to play for as the season winds down.

The goal data is worth noting. Guingamp's away matches have produced BTTS in 64% of games and gone over 2.5 goals in 64% — both well above the Ligue 2 averages of 51% and 46% respectively. Red Star have also been involved in open games at home, keeping clean sheets in only 40% of their home fixtures and averaging over a goal conceded per game. That combination points toward an entertaining, goal-friendly contest.

The home side's form and league position make them the logical favourites, but Guingamp's attacking output on the road means this looks more open than a straightforward home win narrative suggests.