Nantes vs Nancy — Ligue 2 result and pre-match forecast, Monday, 7 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 7.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Nantes
50%
pick · result
Draw
26%
Nancy
23%
Final score
1–0
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Nantes win 50.4% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Nantes win. Expected goals 1.50–0.99 against 1–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–0 (12.9%), 1–1 (12.6%), 2–1 (10.5%). It finished 1–0 — one of them.
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Nantes
| 8 Aug | H | vs Red Star | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Aug | A | vs Laval | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Rodez | 2–5 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Guingamp | 3–3 | D |
| 7 Sept | H | vs Nancy | 1–0 | W |
Nancy
| 8 Aug | A | vs Boulogne | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Aug | H | vs Montpellier | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Aug | A | vs Pau FC | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | H | vs Dunkerque | 2–0 | W |
| 7 Sept | A | vs Nantes | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Nantes (Home · 6 matches) | Nancy (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 33.3% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| Avg goals | 2.67 | 2.83 |
Home stats use Nantes's home record; away stats use Nancy's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.