Montpellier head into this fixture in decent shape, unbeaten in four of their last five at home and sitting comfortably in the top half. Their home averages of 1.6 scored and 1.1 conceded paint a picture of a side that controls games without always blowing opponents away. Their BTTS rate of 56% sits marginally above the Ligue 2 average, though their O2.5 rate of 44% trails the league norm, suggesting matches at their ground tend to be competitive rather than high-scoring.

Clermont arrive in poor form, winning none of their last five on the road and conceding an average of 1.6 per away game. Their clean sheet rate of just 25% away from home is a concern, and a mid-table Montpellier side with genuine scoring intent should fancy their chances here.

The lone H2H meeting ended level, but form and position tell a clearer story. This looks like a match where Montpellier's home advantage is the decisive factor, and the visitors are hard to back with confidence.