Laval vs Sochaux — Ligue 2 result and pre-match forecast, Friday, 18 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Independent model — no market priceFrozen as published · 14.5 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Laval
37%
top pick
Draw
31%
result
Sochaux
33%
Final score
1–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 30.7% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Laval win. Expected goals 1.17–1.09 against 1–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (14.4%), 0–0 (11.4%), 1–0 (11.1%). It finished 1–1 — one of them.
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Laval
| 8 Aug | A | vs Rodez | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Aug | H | vs Nantes | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Metz | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Aug | H | vs Grenoble | 0–3 | L |
| 4 Sept | H | vs Red Star | 1–2 | L |
Sochaux
| 8 Aug | H | vs St Etienne | 0–3 | L |
| 14 Aug | A | vs Red Star | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Aug | H | vs Guingamp | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | A | vs Clermont | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Sept | A | vs Pau FC | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Laval (Home · 6 matches) | Sochaux (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 66.7% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 66.7% | 16.7% |
| Clean sheet | 16.7% | 33.3% |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | 1.83 |
Home stats use Laval's home record; away stats use Sochaux's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.