🇫🇷 Ligue 2·Saturday, 29 August 2026·18:00

DLLLL

18:00

11th vs —

Nantes

Odds comparison

Market	Pinnacle	Best
Guingamp	2.74	2.74
Draw	3.44	3.44
Nantes	2.61	2.61

Metis Forecast

model + market

Guingamp

35%

Draw

28%

Nantes

37%

Guingamp 1.16 xGexpected goals1.10 xG Nantes

Nantes win 37% of the current Metis Forecast.

Both teams score in 45% of simulations.

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12.9%).

Guingamp score at least twice in 32%; Nantes in 31%.

1–1 12.9%0–1 12.8%0–0 10.7%1–0 10.0%1–2 8.9%2–0 7.3%

Scoreline distribution

	0	1	2	3	4	5+
0	10.7	12.8	6.6	2.0	0.5	0.1
1	10.0	12.9	8.9	2.7	0.6	0.1
2	7.3	6.7	3.7	1.8	0.4	0.1
3	3.2	3.0	1.4	0.5	0.2	0.0
4	1.1	1.0	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0
5+	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0

rows = Guingamp goals · columns = Nantes goals · % of simulations

Match outcomes

Both teams score45%

Over 1.5 goals66%

Over 2.5 goals40%

Over 3.5 goals19%

Over 4.5 goals8%

Guingamp clean sheet33%

Nantes clean sheet33%

Guingamp score 2+32%

Nantes score 2+31%

Guingamp score 3+12%

Model vs market

Source	Guingamp	Draw	Nantes
Raw Metis model	45%	30%	25%
Market (de-vigged)	35%	28%	37%
Metis Forecast	35%	28%	37%

The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.

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Recent form

Guingamp

9 Aug	H	vs Le Mans	3–3	D
16 Aug	A	vs Reims	0–1	L
23 Aug	H	vs Red Star	0–4	L
30 Aug	A	vs Bastia	3–1	W
15 Sept	H	vs Montpellier	1–0	W

No recent results.

Head to head

No previous meetings found.

Model context

Stat	Guingamp (Home)	Nantes (Away)
BTTS rate	35.3%	—
Over 2.5 rate	47.1%	—
Clean sheet	35.3%	—
Avg goals	2.41	—

Home stats use Guingamp's home record; away stats use Nantes's away record this season.

Guingamp →🇫🇷 Ligue 2 standings & fixtures