Dijon vs Laval — Ligue 2 result and pre-match forecast, Friday, 11 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Independent model — no market priceFrozen as published · 14.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Dijon
46%
pick · result
Draw
28%
Laval
26%
Final score
3–2
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Dijon win 46.0% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Dijon win. Expected goals 1.46–1.03 against 3–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.5%), 1–0 (11.1%), 0–0 (9.3%). It finished 3–2.
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Dijon
| 8 Aug | A | vs Montpellier | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Aug | H | vs Pau FC | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Aug | A | vs Clermont | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | H | vs St Etienne | 2–3 | L |
| 4 Sept | A | vs Boulogne | 1–1 | D |
Laval
| 8 Aug | A | vs Rodez | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Aug | H | vs Nantes | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Metz | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Aug | H | vs Grenoble | 0–3 | L |
| 4 Sept | H | vs Red Star | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Dijon (Home · 5 matches) | Laval (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 80.0% | 80.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 80.0% | 60.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 4.00 | 3.40 |
Home stats use Dijon's home record; away stats use Laval's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.