Annecy vs Dijon — Ligue 2 result and pre-match forecast, Friday, 18 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Independent model — no market priceFrozen as published · 14.5 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Annecy
43%
top pick
Draw
29%
Dijon
28%
result
Final score
1–2
Top pick missed
Metis gave a Dijon win 27.9% before kick-off, and its most likely result was an Annecy win. Expected goals 1.34–1.04 against 1–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.9%), 1–0 (11.4%), 0–0 (10.3%). It finished 1–2.
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Annecy
| 8 Aug | A | vs Pau FC | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Aug | H | vs Rodez | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | vs Reims | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Metz | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Sept | A | vs Grenoble | 2–1 | W |
Dijon
| 8 Aug | A | vs Montpellier | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Aug | H | vs Pau FC | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Aug | A | vs Clermont | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | H | vs St Etienne | 2–3 | L |
| 4 Sept | A | vs Boulogne | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Annecy (Home · 5 matches) | Dijon (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 60.0% | 100.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 60.0% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.60 | 3.17 |
Home stats use Annecy's home record; away stats use Dijon's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.