Troyes vs Marseille — Ligue 1 forecast, Sunday, 11 October 2026
Ligue 1·Sunday, 11 October 2026·18:45
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Troyes | 3.76 |
| Draw | 3.85 |
| Marseille | 1.90 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 28 Sep · 04:02 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Troyes
| 22 Aug | H | vs Paris FC | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Lorient | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Strasbourg | 2–6 | L |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Lille | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sept | A | vs Angers | 0–2 | L |
Marseille
| 21 Aug | H | vs Strasbourg | 4–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Monaco | 0–2 | L |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Paris FC | 2–3 | L |
| 11 Sept | A | vs Rennes | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sept | H | vs Paris SG | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Troyes (Home · 2 matches) | Marseille (Away · 2 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 4.00 | 1.50 |
Home stats use Troyes's home record; away stats use Marseille's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.