Troyes vs Lens — Ligue 1 forecast, Saturday, 17 October 2026
Ligue 1·Saturday, 17 October 2026·18:45
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Troyes | 4.00 |
| Draw | 3.98 |
| Lens | 1.81 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 04 Oct · 04:06 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Troyes
| 22 Aug | H | vs Paris FC | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Lorient | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Strasbourg | 2–6 | L |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Lille | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sept | A | vs Angers | 0–2 | L |
Lens
| 22 Aug | H | vs Auxerre | 5–2 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Strasbourg | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Lorient | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Le Mans | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Sept | A | vs Monaco | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Troyes (Home · 2 matches) | Lens (Away · 3 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 100.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 100.0% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 4.00 | 3.33 |
Home stats use Troyes's home record; away stats use Lens's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.