Rennes head into this one in strong shape, having won three of their last five at home, and their position in the top five reflects a consistent campaign. Paris FC arrive with decent away form of their own — four wins from five on the road is no small feat for a mid-table side — which sets up what could be a more competitive contest than the league standings imply.

The goal data is the most compelling angle here. Rennes have seen BTTS land in 67% of their home games and Paris FC in 69% of away games, both well above the league average of 49%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 60% for Rennes at home. Both defences have shown vulnerability, and neither side is particularly stingy on the road or at home. This fixture has the hallmarks of an open game.

The visitors look undervalued given their recent travel form. Rennes are the stronger side on paper, but Paris FC have the profile to keep this tight or nick something.