Nice vs Troyes — Ligue 1 forecast, Saturday, 28 November 2026
Ligue 1·Saturday, 28 November 2026·19:45
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Nice | 1.67 |
| Draw | 4.08 |
| Troyes | 4.82 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 15 Nov · 04:31 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Nice
| 22 Aug | H | vs Lorient | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Paris FC | 0–3 | L |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Le Mans | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Auxerre | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sept | H | vs Lille | 2–1 | W |
Troyes
| 22 Aug | H | vs Paris FC | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Lorient | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Strasbourg | 2–6 | L |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Lille | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sept | A | vs Angers | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Nice (Home · 5 matches) | Troyes (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 60.0% | 20.0% |
| Clean sheet | 20.0% | 20.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | 1.60 |
Home stats use Nice's home record; away stats use Troyes's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.