Marseille vs Le Mans — Ligue 1 forecast, Sunday, 22 November 2026
Ligue 1·Sunday, 22 November 2026·19:45
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Marseille | 1.46 |
| Draw | 4.98 |
| Le Mans | 6.46 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 10 Nov · 04:35 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Marseille
| 21 Aug | H | vs Strasbourg | 4–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Monaco | 0–2 | L |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Paris FC | 2–3 | L |
| 11 Sept | A | vs Rennes | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sept | H | vs Paris SG | 1–2 | L |
Le Mans
| 22 Aug | H | vs Brest | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Rennes | 2–3 | L |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Nice | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Lens | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sept | H | vs Lorient | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Marseille (Home · 5 matches) | Le Mans (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 60.0% | 80.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 80.0% | 40.0% |
| Clean sheet | 40.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 4.20 | 3.00 |
Home stats use Marseille's home record; away stats use Le Mans's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.