Lille head into this fixture in commanding form, having lost just once in their last five league outings, while Le Havre arrive having failed to win any of their last five away games. The gap in league position tells a similar story, with Lille pushing for European qualification and Le Havre looking nervously over their shoulders in mid-table.

The data suggests this is likely to be a tight, low-scoring affair. Lille's home matches produce an average of just 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, with over 2.5 goals occurring in only 36% of home games — well below the league average of 51%. Le Havre on the road are equally cautious, averaging just 0.6 goals per away game with a BTTS rate of 36%, again trailing the league norm.

Le Havre have shown some resilience on the road this season, keeping things compact, but Lille's quality and momentum makes this look like comfortable home territory. The visitors are unlikely to cause many problems here.