Le Havre head into this fixture in uninspiring form, collecting just one point from their last five with four draws and a defeat. Their home record this season has been low-scoring — averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded — and their BTTS rate of 60% at home sits above the league average, though clean sheets have come in 27% of home games. Marseille arrive with inconsistent away form of their own, winning two of the last five on the road while conceding at an average of 1.5 per game away from home.

The limited head-to-head history favours Marseille, who won the only recent meeting between these sides. Despite sitting sixth, their away attacking output of 1.4 goals per game gives them an edge over a Le Havre side that has struggled to win anything lately.

This looks tighter than the surface might suggest, but the data points toward a close, cagey affair with goals at a premium.