Angers head into this one in poor shape, winning none of their last five and showing little attacking threat at home, averaging just 1.1 goals per game while keeping the ball out of their own net at a similarly modest rate. Their home BTTS rate of 40% and Over 2.5 rate of just 20% are both well below the Ligue 1 averages, pointing to low-scoring, tight affairs when they play on home soil.

Strasbourg arrive in considerably better nick, with two wins from their last four away trips and a profile that screams open football. Their away BTTS rate of 71% and Over 2.5 rate of 64% are among the higher figures in the division, and they rarely keep clean sheets on the road, conceding 1.7 per game away from home.

The data suggests Strasbourg's dynamic away record is the dominant factor here. The visitors look undervalued given Angers' limp home form, and goals feel more likely than Angers' home statistics alone would imply.