Zaragoza arrive at this final-day fixture in dire shape, winless in their last five and sitting 21st in La Liga 2 — a side with little left to play for beyond pride. Their home record tells a bleak story, averaging under a goal scored per game while conceding 1.4, and their clean sheet rate of just 25% offers little defensive encouragement.

Malaga, by contrast, carry genuine momentum into this one. Four points from a possible six in their last two away fixtures, and a strong away BTTS rate of 60% alongside an O2.5 rate of 60% — both notably above the league average of 56% and 51% respectively — suggests they tend to be involved in open, productive games on the road.

The visitors look undervalued here. Malaga's away form, goal threat, and the context of a Zaragoza side already cut adrift points to a comfortable win for the fourth-placed side.