Tenerife vs Andorra — La Liga 2 forecast, Monday, 2 November 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Tenerife
43%
Draw
30%
Andorra
28%
Expected goals
1.25–0.99
Tenerife · Andorra
Tenerife win 43% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13.8%), 1–0 (13.3%), 0–0 (11.4%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 46% of simulations.
Those three cover 38% of outcomes; the other 62% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Tenerife win is 1–0 (13.3%).
Tenerife score at least twice in 36%; Andorra in 26%.
Scoreline distribution
Andorra goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.4 | 9.0 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 13.3 | 13.8 | 6.1 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.4 | 8.9 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Tenerife goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 37% | 31% | 32% |
| Market reference | 43% | 30% | 28% |
| Metis Forecast | 43% | 30% | 28% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Tenerife | 2.29 |
| Draw | 3.24 |
| Andorra | 3.51 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 02 Nov · 05:06 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Tenerife
| 16 Aug | A | vs Eibar | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Almeria | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | H | vs Sp Gijon | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Sociedad B | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Leganes | 2–0 | W |
Andorra
| 15 Aug | H | vs Ceuta | 5–1 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | vs Celta B | 2–4 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Eibar | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Valladolid | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Sociedad B | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Tenerife (Home · 5 matches) | Andorra (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 40.0% | 40.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 0.0% | 40.0% |
| Clean sheet | 40.0% | 20.0% |
| Avg goals | 1.60 | 2.80 |
Home stats use Tenerife's home record; away stats use Andorra's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.