Sociedad B vs Girona — La Liga 2 forecast, Saturday, 31 October 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Sociedad B
29%
Draw
25%
Girona
46%
Expected goals
1.12–1.52
Sociedad B · Girona
Girona win 46% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11.8%), 0–1 (10.0%), 1–2 (9.1%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 52% of simulations.
Those three cover 31% of outcomes; the other 69% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Girona win is 0–1 (10.0%).
Sociedad B score at least twice in 31%; Girona in 45%.
Scoreline distribution
Girona goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.4 | 10.0 | 8.5 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 1 | 7.8 | 11.8 | 9.1 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 2 | 4.8 | 7.4 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Sociedad B goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 25% | 27% | 47% |
| Market reference | 29% | 25% | 46% |
| Metis Forecast | 29% | 25% | 46% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Sociedad B | 3.26 |
| Draw | 3.82 |
| Girona | 2.08 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 26 Oct · 04:41 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Sociedad B
| 14 Aug | H | vs Castellon | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Albacete | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | vs Burgos | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Tenerife | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Andorra | 3–1 | W |
Girona
| 16 Aug | H | vs Leganes | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Aug | A | vs Cordoba | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Las Palmas | 5–2 | W |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Sp Gijon | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Castellon | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Sociedad B (Home · 5 matches) | Girona (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 60.0% | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 40.0% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 25.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | 2.50 |
Home stats use Sociedad B's home record; away stats use Girona's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.