Sociedad B arrive into this fixture in wretched form, failing to win any of their last five league matches and sitting just three places above the relegation zone. Burgos, by contrast, have been one of the more consistent travellers in the division, picking up three wins from their last four away days and currently occupying a comfortable seventh-place berth. The solitary head-to-head on record ended in a defeat for the hosts, and there is little in the current data to suggest a different outcome here.

Defensively, this shapes up as a fairly contained affair. Burgos keep clean sheets in a third of their away games and their BTTS rate on the road sits at 44%, meaningfully below the league average of 55%. Sociedad B have been leaky at home but not prolific, averaging 1.4 goals scored against 1.3 conceded. The visitors look undervalued given their form, and this contest looks tighter on paper than the standings imply only in the sense that goals may be at a premium.