Sabadell vs Cordoba — La Liga 2 result and pre-match forecast, Monday, 7 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 7.3 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Sabadell
47%
pick · result
Draw
28%
Cordoba
25%
Final score
3–2
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Sabadell win 46.8% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Sabadell win. Expected goals 1.49–1.06 against 3–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.5%), 1–0 (11.1%), 2–1 (9.7%). It finished 3–2.
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Sabadell
| 17 Aug | A | vs Sp Gijon | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Castellon | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Almeria | 1–0 | W |
| 7 Sept | H | vs Cordoba | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Mallorca | 0–2 | L |
Cordoba
| 16 Aug | A | vs Burgos | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Aug | H | vs Girona | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Granada | 1–3 | L |
| 7 Sept | A | vs Sabadell | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Almeria | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Sabadell (Home · 5 matches) | Cordoba (Away · 7 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 60.0% | 85.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 40.0% | 85.7% |
| Clean sheet | 40.0% | 14.3% |
| Avg goals | 2.40 | 3.57 |
Home stats use Sabadell's home record; away stats use Cordoba's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.