Sabadell vs Andorra — La Liga 2 forecast, Saturday, 3 October 2026
Metis Forecast
Independent model — no market priceModel updated
Sabadell
50%
Draw
27%
Andorra
23%
Expected goals
1.58–1.01
Sabadell · Andorra
Sabadell win 50% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.9%), 1–0 (10.8%), 2–1 (9.5%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 52% of simulations.
Those three cover 33% of outcomes; the other 67% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Sabadell win is 1–0 (10.8%).
Sabadell score at least twice in 47%; Andorra in 27%.
Scoreline distribution
Andorra goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.4 | 6.6 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.8 | 12.9 | 6.1 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.4 | 9.5 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.9 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Sabadell goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Sabadell | 2.14 |
| Draw | 3.19 |
| Andorra | 3.70 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 27 Sep · 03:48 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Sabadell
| 17 Aug | A | vs Sp Gijon | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Castellon | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Almeria | 1–0 | W |
| 7 Sept | H | vs Cordoba | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Mallorca | 0–2 | L |
Andorra
| 15 Aug | H | vs Ceuta | 5–1 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | vs Celta B | 2–4 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Eibar | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Valladolid | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Sociedad B | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Sabadell (Home · 3 matches) | Andorra (Away · 2 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 66.7% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 66.7% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.33 | 3.50 |
Home stats use Sabadell's home record; away stats use Andorra's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.