Mallorca vs Cordoba — La Liga 2 forecast, Saturday, 14 November 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Mallorca
58%
Draw
22%
Cordoba
20%
Expected goals
1.76–0.96
Mallorca · Cordoba
Mallorca win 58% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12.1%), 2–1 (11.0%), 2–0 (10.8%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 51% of simulations.
Those three cover 34% of outcomes; the other 66% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Mallorca score at least twice in 53%; Cordoba in 25%.
Scoreline distribution
Cordoba goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.5 | 5.4 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.1 | 10.4 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.8 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Mallorca goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 52% | 26% | 22% |
| Market reference | 58% | 22% | 20% |
| Metis Forecast | 58% | 22% | 20% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Mallorca | 1.65 |
| Draw | 4.28 |
| Cordoba | 4.67 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 08 Nov · 05:14 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Mallorca
| 15 Aug | H | vs Valladolid | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | vs Granada | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Ceuta | 3–0 | W |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Eldense | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Sabadell | 2–0 | W |
Cordoba
| 16 Aug | A | vs Burgos | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Aug | H | vs Girona | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Granada | 1–3 | L |
| 7 Sept | A | vs Sabadell | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Almeria | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Mallorca (Home · 6 matches) | Cordoba (Away · 7 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 33.3% | 85.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 85.7% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 14.3% |
| Avg goals | 2.50 | 3.57 |
Home stats use Mallorca's home record; away stats use Cordoba's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.