Malaga come into this in decent shape, unbeaten in four of their last five at home and sitting fourth in the table. Their home numbers are notable — BTTS at 61% and Over 2.5 at 61% both sit well clear of the league averages of 54% and 49% respectively, driven by an average of 2.1 goals scored per home game. They create, but they also concede, keeping just three clean sheets in ten home outings.

Castellon are no pushovers though. Three wins or draws from their last five away games and a solid defensive record on the road makes them a tricky proposition. Their away BTTS of 56% and O2.5 of 50% are both marginally above the league norm, suggesting games involving them tend to have at least some life in them.

The lone H2H meeting ended in a Castellon win, a detail worth noting. This looks tighter than a home side at fourth versus sixth might suggest, with both teams capable of contributing to an open game.