Granada arrive at this one in inconsistent form, alternating between wins and defeats across their last five, though they did secure a home victory most recently. Sitting 13th, their home record shows some defensive solidity with a clean sheet rate of 33% and an average of just one goal conceded per game, but their attacking output is modest. Their home BTTS and Over 2.5 figures sit notably below the league average, suggesting games at this ground tend to be tight, low-scoring affairs.

Almeria are the clear form side here, sitting second and pushing for promotion. Their away record carries genuine goal threat, with BTTS triggering in 67% of road games and Over 2.5 landing in 56% compared to the league average of 49%. The lone H2H meeting ended in Granada's defeat, and Almeria's quality on the road makes that result look repeatable. The visitors look undervalued in what could be a more open game than Granada's home stats typically suggest.